October 19 2023

Bloomberg: Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in several key swing states as voters reject the economic message that is central to Biden’s reelection bid, according to a poll by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult. 


Trump, the frontrunner for the GOP nomination, leads Biden 47% to 43% among voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The results across those seven states had a margin of error of 1 percentage point."



A 51% majority of swing-state voters said the national economy was better off during the Trump administration, and similar numbers said they would trust Trump over Biden on the economy going forward, 49% to 35%. Among independent voters, the chasm on trust to handle the economy is even wider, with a 22-point advantage for Trump.


Trump was more trusted on several other key issues, including immigration and infrastructure. He also fared better than Biden on US-China relations and the war in Ukraine – matters in the foreign relations arena that is often thought of as Biden’s forte. The attack by Hamas on Israel, which took place partway through the polling period, has made for one of the most challenging moments of Biden’s presidency.


The economic perceptions may prove most consequential: Swing-state voters cited the economy more than any other issue as the most important to them at the ballot box. And on specific pocketbook issues, including the stock market, housing, the cost of everyday goods, interest rates, and taxes, more respondents trusted Trump.




Only 26% of voters in the poll said “Bidenomics” has been good for the economy, with 49% saying the policies have been bad. The numbers are even worse among those who said the economy was their most important issue: Those voters disapproved of Biden’s economic policies 65% to 14%.

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